FVXX22 KNES 070201
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20240307/0201Z

VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 341090
PSN: N1901 W09837

AREA: MEXICO

SUMMIT ELEV: 17693 FT (5393 M)

ADVISORY NR: 2024/283

INFO SOURCE: GOES-16. WEBCAM. NWP MODELS.
HYSPLIT. VOLCAT. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: CONS VA EMS

OBS VA DTG: 07/0136Z

OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL190 N1908 W09817 - N1855 W09812
- N1858 W09837 - N1903 W09837 - N1908 W09817 MOV
SW 0KT SFC/FL230 N1858 W09834 - N1857 W09822 -
N1839 W09802 - N1837 W09729 - N1801 W09659 -
N1754 W09808 - N1858 W09834 MOV SE 20KT SFC/FL220
N1846 W09703 - N1835 W09659 - N1835 W09717 -
N1844 W09719 - N1846 W09703 MOV E 15KT 

FCST VA CLD +6HR: 07/0730Z SFC/FL190 N1911 W09722
- N1840 W09728 - N1855 W09837 - N1904 W09836 -
N1911 W09722 SFC/FL220 NO VA EXPSFC/FL230 N1750
W09806 - N1743 W09620 - N1718 W09637 - N1724
W09811 - N1750 W09806 

FCST VA CLD +12HR: 07/1330Z SFC/FL190 N1907
W09659 - N1835 W09704 - N1855 W09837 - N1903
W09836 - N1907 W09659 SFC/FL230 N1705 W09814 -
N1657 W09623 - N1640 W09628 - N1652 W09815 -
N1705 W09814 

FCST VA CLD +18HR: 07/1930Z SFC/FL190 N1903
W09837 - N1849 W09701 - N1823 W09717 - N1856
W09839 - N1903 W09837 SFC/FL230 NO VA EXP

RMK: NEW VA NOW HEADING TWD THE E FM SUMMIT.
EARLIER VA CONT TO MOV SE AND WITH LEADING EDGE
ARND 75 NM FM SUMMIT. A SMALL AREA HAS BROKEN OFF
AND HEADING E FM MAIN AREA MOV SE. MODEL GUIDANCE
SHOWS A MORE ESE MOV WITH VA TO FL190 WITH VA TO
FL220 DSIPTG BY T+6 HRS AND TO FL230 DSIPTG BY
T+18 HRS. MOV AND HGT BASED ON SAT, VOLCAT, AND
MODELS. ...KIBLER

NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20240307/0800Z