FVXX20 KNES 310715 VA ADVISORY DTG: 20231031/0715Z VAAC: WASHINGTON VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 341090 PSN: N1901 W09837 AREA: MEXICO SUMMIT ELEV: 17693 FT (5393 M) ADVISORY NR: 2023/1116 INFO SOURCE: GOES-16. WEBCAM. NWP MODELS. RADIOSONDE. ERUPTION DETAILS: OCNL TO FRQT VA EMS. OBS VA DTG: 31/0636Z OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL200 N1917 W09905 - N1916 W09847 - N1901 W09836 - N1901 W09857 - N1917 W09905 MOV W 5KT SFC/FL220 N1917 W09838 - N1900 W09836 - N1900 W09838 - N1917 W09847 - N1917 W09838 MOV N 15KT FCST VA CLD +6HR: 31/1230Z SFC/FL200 N1909 W09907 - N1902 W09837 - N1900 W09837 - N1901 W09908 - N1909 W09907 SFC/FL220 N1935 W09845 - N1935 W09826 - N1900 W09836 - N1901 W09838 - N1935 W09845 FCST VA CLD +12HR: 31/1830Z SFC/FL200 N1914 W09904 - N1901 W09836 - N1859 W09837 - N1902 W09908 - N1914 W09904 SFC/FL220 N1936 W09834 - N1932 W09817 - N1859 W09837 - N1900 W09838 - N1936 W09834 FCST VA CLD +18HR: 01/0030Z SFC/FL200 N1917 W09901 - N1901 W09837 - N1900 W09837 - N1907 W09906 - N1917 W09901 SFC/FL220 N1936 W09826 - N1927 W09809 - N1901 W09837 - N1901 W09838 - N1936 W09826 RMK: VA CLDS OBSD BY STLT MOVG MAINLY NNW AND W WITH FANNING IN BETWEEN. FLS ESTD FM WEBCAM AND 00Z MMMX RADIOSONDE. NWP MDLS NOT FCSTG OBS WELL SO LOW CONFDC IN FCSTS. ...HOSLEY NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20231031/1315Z