FVXX20 KNES 281555
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20230528/1555Z

VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 341090
PSN: N1901 W09837

AREA: MEXICO

SUMMIT ELEV: 17693 FT (5393 M)

ADVISORY NR: 2023/650

INFO SOURCE: GOES-16. MEXICO CITY MWO. WEBCAM.
NWP MODELS. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: VA EMS OBSD

OBS VA DTG: 28/1530Z

OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL210 N1904 W09834 - N1842 W09813
- N1850 W09747 - N1837 W09739 - N1825 W09822 -
N1901 W09842 - N1904 W09834 MOV SE 10KT 

FCST VA CLD +6HR: 28/2130Z SFC/FL210 N1903 W09836
- N1838 W09750 - N1818 W09816 - N1859 W09841 -
N1903 W09836 

FCST VA CLD +12HR: 29/0330Z SFC/FL210 N1905
W09837 - N1852 W09728 - N1807 W09756 - N1859
W09844 - N1905 W09837 

FCST VA CLD +18HR: 29/0930Z SFC/FL210 N1905
W09835 - N1843 W09717 - N1801 W09757 - N1857
W09842 - N1905 W09835 

RMK: VA EMS OBSD IN SAT AND WEBCAM. VA CLDS
TURNED TO SSE ABT 40NMI  FM SUMMIT WITH E-LY TAIL
AMONG MET CLDS. VA FL BASED ON RPRT. MDL DOES NOT
AGREE WELL WITH OBS THUS FCST CONFIDENCE IS LOW. 
...ZENG

NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20230528/2200Z