FVXX20 KNES 072129
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20230507/2129Z

VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 341090
PSN: N1901 W09837

AREA: MEXICO

SUMMIT ELEV: 17693 FT (5393 M)

ADVISORY NR: 2023/551

INFO SOURCE: GOES-16. MEXICO CITY MWO. WEBCAM.
NWP MODELS. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: VA SEEN IN SAT AND WEBCAM

OBS VA DTG: 07/2111Z

OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL220 N1904 W09837 - N1902 W09825
- N1857 W09828 - N1901 W09837 - N1902 W09837 -
N1904 W09837 MOV E 5KT SFC/FL175 N1901 W09837 -
N1900 W09837 - N1853 W09841 - N1856 W09846 -
N1901 W09837 MOV SW 0KT 

FCST VA CLD +6HR: 08/0300Z SFC/FL175 N1902 W09838
- N1901 W09837 - N1853 W09847 - N1900 W09853 -
N1902 W09838 SFC/FL220 N1910 W09817 - N1858
W09819 - N1902 W09837 - N1903 W09838 - N1910
W09817 

FCST VA CLD +12HR: 08/0900Z SFC/FL220 N1919
W09820 - N1910 W09816 - N1901 W09837 - N1903
W09837 - N1919 W09820 SFC/FL175 NO VA EXP

FCST VA CLD +18HR: 08/1500Z SFC/FL220 N1905
W09836 - N1858 W09816 - N1849 W09822 - N1902
W09837 - N1905 W09836 

RMK: VA SEEN IN SAT MOV SSW AND EXTD ARND 10 NM
BEFORE DSIPTG. VA MOV MOSTLY E TO FL220 AND
DSIPTG ARND 10-15 NM FRM SUMMIT. WINDS ARE VRY
LGT AND VAR. NWP GUIDANCE SHOWS A E/NE MOV THRU
T+12 HRS TO FL220. A MORE SW MOV BY T+6 HRS FOR
VA TO FL220. FCST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO LGT
AND VAR WINDS. ...KIBLER

NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20230508/0330Z