FVXX20 KNES 101358
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20230410/1358Z

VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 341090
PSN: N1901 W09837

AREA: MEXICO

SUMMIT ELEV: 17693 FT (5393 M)

ADVISORY NR: 2023/432

INFO SOURCE: GOES-16. WEBCAM. NWP MODELS.
HYSPLIT. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: LARGE VA EMS ARND 10/1230Z

OBS VA DTG: 10/1331Z

OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL240 N1901 W09837 - N1847 W09711
- N1800 W09740 - N1835 W09831 - N1901 W09840 -
N1901 W09837 MOV E 25KT SFC/FL320 N1923 W09758 -
N1920 W09747 - N1845 W09809 - N1855 W09830 -
N1923 W09758 MOV E 45KT 

FCST VA CLD +6HR: 10/1930Z SFC/FL240 N1902 W09834
- N1758 W09644 - N1714 W09722 - N1858 W09841 -
N1902 W09834 SFC/FL320 N2044 W09411 - N1935
W09428 - N1936 W09457 - N2042 W09438 - N2044
W09411 

FCST VA CLD +12HR: 11/0130Z SFC/FL240 N1902
W09834 - N1813 W09640 - N1728 W09710 - N1858
W09841 - N1902 W09834 SFC/FL320 N2048 W09121 -
N2048 W09113 - N2007 W09113 - N2004 W09125 -
N2048 W09121 

FCST VA CLD +18HR: 11/0730Z SFC/FL240 N1903
W09835 - N1833 W09635 - N1752 W09651 - N1856
W09840 - N1903 W09835 SFC/FL320 NO VA EXP

RMK: LARGE VA EMS SEEN MOV E/ENE FM AND CURRENTLY
ANRD 60 NM FM SUMMIT AT FL320. LOWER LEVEL VA EMS
SEEN MOV E/SE FM SUMMIT TO ARND FL240. MODEL
GUIDANCE SHOWS A CONT E/ENE MOV FOR FL320 WITH A
MORE ESE/SE MOV FOR FL240. MOV AND HGT BASED ON
SOUNDING, HYSPLIT, NWP AND SAT.  ...KIBLER

NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20230410/2000Z