FVXX23 KNES 152208 VA ADVISORY DTG: 20230215/2208Z VAAC: WASHINGTON VOLCANO: COTOPAXI 352050 PSN: S0041 W07826 AREA: ECUADOR SUMMIT ELEV: 19393 FT (5911 M) ADVISORY NR: 2023/102 INFO SOURCE: GOES-16. WEBCAM. NWP MODELS. GEOPHYSICAL INST. ERUPTION DETAILS: VA RPRTD BY GEOPHYSICAL INSTITUTE. OBS VA DTG: 15/2150Z OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL200 S0040 W07826 - S0041 W07826 - S0048 W07832 - S0042 W07835 - S0040 W07826 MOV SW 5KT FCST VA CLD +6HR: 16/0400Z SFC/FL200 S0040 W07826 - S0041 W07826 - S0050 W07831 - S0044 W07838 - S0040 W07826 FCST VA CLD +12HR: 16/1000Z SFC/FL200 S0040 W07826 - S0052 W07826 - S0049 W07835 - S0040 W07826 - S0040 W07826 FCST VA CLD +18HR: 16/1600Z NO VA EXP RMK: GEOPHYSICAL INSTITUTE RPRTS VA MOV WSW/SW FM SUMMIT. WEBCAM SHOWS VA BETWEEN MET CLDS. MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS A SW MOV THRU T+6 HRS WITH MORE SSW BY T+12 HRS. MOV AND HGT BASED ON NWP AND GEOPHYSICAL INSTITUTE. ...KIBLER NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20230216/0415Z