FVXX24 KNES 021805 VA ADVISORY DTG: 20221202/1805Z VAAC: WASHINGTON VOLCANO: SANGAY 352090 PSN: S0200 W07820 AREA: ECUADOR SUMMIT ELEV: 17342 FT (5286 M) ADVISORY NR: 2022/1280 INFO SOURCE: GOES-16. WEBCAM. NWP MODELS. HYSPLIT. ERUPTION DETAILS: CONS VA EMS OBS VA DTG: 02/1740Z OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL200 S0159 W07817 - S0216 W07811 - S0216 W07822 - S0203 W07825 - S0200 W07823 - S0159 W07817 MOV S 5KT SFC/FL230 S0146 W07826 - S0146 W07812 - S0201 W07815 - S0201 W07823 - S0146 W07826 MOV N 5KT FCST VA CLD +6HR: 02/2330Z SFC/FL200 S0200 W07817 - S0220 W07756 - S0229 W07813 - S0201 W07824 - S0200 W07817 SFC/FL230 S0143 W07827 - S0143 W07811 - S0200 W07815 - S0201 W07823 - S0143 W07827 FCST VA CLD +12HR: 03/0530Z SFC/FL200 S0159 W07823 - S0159 W07752 - S0215 W07752 - S0201 W07824 - S0159 W07823 SFC/FL230 NO VA EXP FCST VA CLD +18HR: 03/1130Z SFC/FL200 S0146 W07755 - S0159 W07753 - S0202 W07823 - S0159 W07823 - S0146 W07755 RMK: CONS VA EMS SEEN MOV SSE TO FL200 WITH SOME VA MOV TO N TO FL230. GUIDANCE SHOWS A GRADUAL BACKING AT FL200 WITH VA MOV E BY T+18 HRS. A CONT N MOV THRU T+6 FOR VA TO FL230. MOV AND HGT BASED ON SAT, HYSPLIT AND NWP. ...KIBLER NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20221203/0000Z