FVXX24 KNES 131506 VA ADVISORY DTG: 20221113/1506Z VAAC: WASHINGTON VOLCANO: SANGAY 352090 PSN: S0200 W07820 AREA: ECUADOR SUMMIT ELEV: 17159 FT (5230 M) ADVISORY NR: 2022/1201 INFO SOURCE: GOES-16. NWP MODELS. VOLCAT. ERUPTION DETAILS: CONS VA EMS OBS VA DTG: 13/1440Z OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL220 S0154 W07823 - S0159 W07819 - S0201 W07820 - S0211 W07839 - S0200 W07843 - S0154 W07823 MOV W 5KT SFC/FL200 S0126 W07842 - S0140 W07838 - S0141 W07847 - S0126 W07852 - S0126 W07842 MOV NW 5KT FCST VA CLD +6HR: 13/2030Z SFC/FL200 NO VA EXPSFC/FL220 S0159 W07819 - S0205 W07819 - S0222 W07858 - S0203 W07905 - S0159 W07819 FCST VA CLD +12HR: 14/0230Z SFC/FL220 S0154 W07905 - S0159 W07819 - S0201 W07820 - S0210 W07905 - S0154 W07905 FCST VA CLD +18HR: 14/0830Z SFC/FL220 S0149 W07905 - S0159 W07819 - S0201 W07819 - S0203 W07905 - S0149 W07905 RMK: REMNANT VA ARND 35 NE OF VOLCANO AND DSIPTG TO FL200. CONS VA PLUME MOV W TO SW IN SAT IMAGERY AND EXTDG ARND 25 NM FM SUMMIT. MODEL GUIDANCE SHOW A CONT SW/W THRU T+18 HRS. CONFIDENCE IN FCST IS LOW DUE TO LIGHT AND VAR WINDS THRU T+18 HRS. ...KIBLER NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20221113/2100Z