FVXX24 KNES 100048 VA ADVISORY DTG: 20221110/0048Z VAAC: WASHINGTON VOLCANO: SANGAY 352090 PSN: S0200 W07820 AREA: ECUADOR SUMMIT ELEV: 17159 FT (5230 M) ADVISORY NR: 2022/1186 INFO SOURCE: GOES-16. NWP MODELS. ERUPTION DETAILS: CONS VA EMS OBS VA DTG: 10/0020Z OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL190 S0156 W07829 - S0159 W07820 - S0201 W07820 - S0204 W07830 - S0156 W07829 MOV W 5KT SFC/FL230 S0147 W07828 - S0147 W07819 - S0159 W07819 - S0159 W07822 - S0147 W07828 MOV N 10KT FCST VA CLD +6HR: 10/0630Z SFC/FL190 S0153 W07841 - S0200 W07820 - S0201 W07819 - S0204 W07841 - S0153 W07841 SFC/FL230 S0131 W07825 - S0201 W07819 - S0202 W07820 - S0134 W07839 - S0131 W07825 FCST VA CLD +12HR: 10/1230Z SFC/FL190 NO VA EXPSFC/FL230 S0132 W07838 - S0200 W07819 - S0201 W07820 - S0139 W07847 - S0132 W07838 FCST VA CLD +18HR: 10/1830Z SFC/FL230 S0136 W07844 - S0159 W07819 - S0201 W07820 - S0144 W07853 - S0136 W07844 RMK: VA EMS MOV TWD THE NNW TO FL230 AND EXTDG ARND 15 NM SUMMIT WITH SMALLER VA EMS MOV W TO FL190. NWP GUIDANCE SHOWS A GRADUAL TURN TWDS THE NW BY T+12 HRS THRU T+18 HRS. FCST CONFIDENCE AND HGT OF VA MOV W IS LOW. ...KIBLER NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20221110/0645Z