FVXX24 KNES 180953 VA ADVISORY DTG: 20221018/0953Z VAAC: WASHINGTON VOLCANO: SANGAY 352090 PSN: S0200 W07820 AREA: ECUADOR SUMMIT ELEV: 17159 FT (5230 M) ADVISORY NR: 2022/1089 INFO SOURCE: GOES-16. NWP MODELS. VOLCAT. ERUPTION DETAILS: CONS VA EMS OBSD OBS VA DTG: 18/0930Z OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL200 S0158 W07839 - S0159 W07819 - S0201 W07820 - S0202 W07839 - S0158 W07839 MOV W 10KT FCST VA CLD +6HR: 18/1530Z SFC/FL200 S0148 W07841 - S0159 W07819 - S0201 W07820 - S0153 W07844 - S0148 W07841 FCST VA CLD +12HR: 18/2130Z NO VA EXP FCST VA CLD +18HR: 19/0330Z NO VA EXP RMK: CONS VA EMS OBSD IN SAT AND VA CLDS EXTD APPX 20NMI W OF SUMMIT BEFORE OBSC BY MET CLDS. VA FL BASED ON PREV VAA. MDL DOES NOT AGREE WELL WITH OBS, THUS FCST CONFIDENCE IS LOW. ...ZENG NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20221018/1600Z