FVXX24 KNES 180443 VA ADVISORY DTG: 20221018/0443Z VAAC: WASHINGTON VOLCANO: SANGAY 352090 PSN: S0200 W07820 AREA: ECUADOR SUMMIT ELEV: 17159 FT (5230 M) ADVISORY NR: 2022/1088 INFO SOURCE: GOES-16. NWP MODELS. ERUPTION DETAILS: VA EMS OBSD OBS VA DTG: 18/0420Z OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL200 S0156 W07845 - S0158 W07819 - S0201 W07819 - S0204 W07846 - S0156 W07845 MOV W 15KT FCST VA CLD +6HR: 18/1030Z SFC/FL200 S0143 W07845 - S0159 W07819 - S0201 W07820 - S0149 W07848 - S0143 W07845 FCST VA CLD +12HR: 18/1630Z NO VA EXP FCST VA CLD +18HR: 18/2230Z NO VA EXP RMK: VA EMS OBSD IN SAT AND VA CLDS EXTED APPX 25NMI W OF SUMMIT BEFORE OBSD BY MET CLDS. MDL DOE SNOT AGREE WELL WITH OBS, THUS VA FL BASED ON REPV VAA AND MDL FCST CONFIDENCE IS LOW. ...ZENG NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20221018/1045Z