FVXX21 KNES 120215 VA ADVISORY DTG: 20221212/0215Z VAAC: WASHINGTON VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 341090 PSN: N1901 W09837 AREA: MEXICO SUMMIT ELEV: 17693 FT (5393 M) ADVISORY NR: 2022/456 INFO SOURCE: GOES-16. NWP MODELS. ERUPTION DETAILS: POSS VA EMS OBS VA DTG: 12/0201Z OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL240 N1902 W09838 - N1900 W09835 - N1838 W09836 - N1843 W09851 - N1902 W09838 MOV S 5KT FCST VA CLD +6HR: 12/0800Z SFC/FL240 N1901 W09837 - N1901 W09836 - N1832 W09841 - N1839 W09858 - N1901 W09837 FCST VA CLD +12HR: 12/1400Z SFC/FL240 N1901 W09838 - N1901 W09836 - N1840 W09819 - N1835 W09852 - N1901 W09838 FCST VA CLD +18HR: 12/2000Z NO VA EXP RMK: VA EMS NOT OBS IN STLT IMG BUT OCNL VA EMS LIKELY TO CONT. ALL PREVIOUS VA HAS DISSIPATED. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS SSW MVMT THRU T+6. FCST CONFIDENCE LOW. ...GATLING NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20221212/0815Z