FVXX23 KNES 311506
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20221031/1506Z

VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 341090
PSN: N1901 W09837

AREA: MEXICO

SUMMIT ELEV: 17802 FT (5426 M)

ADVISORY NR: 2022/287

INFO SOURCE: GOES-16. WEBCAM. NWP MODELS. VOLCAT. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: INTMT VA EMS OBSD

OBS VA DTG: 31/1440Z

OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL200 N1902 W09836 - N1901 W09829
- N1854 W09833 - N1901 W09838 - N1902 W09836 MOV
SE 10KT 

FCST VA CLD +6HR: 31/2030Z SFC/FL200 N1902 W09835
- N1850 W09835 - N1852 W09840 - N1901 W09838 -
N1902 W09835 

FCST VA CLD +12HR: 01/0230Z NO VA EXP

FCST VA CLD +18HR: 01/0830Z NO VA EXP

RMK: INTMT VA EMS OBSD IN SAT AND VA CLDS MOVD SE
FM SUMMIT MATCHING UPAIR SOUNDING OBS. VOLACT
ALERT RECEIVED. NWP MDL DOES NOW AGREE WELL WITH
OBS THUS FCST CONFIDENCE IS LOW.  ...ZENG

NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20221031/2100Z