FVXX21 KNES 101215 VA ADVISORY DTG: 20221010/1215Z VAAC: WASHINGTON VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 341090 PSN: N1901 W09837 AREA: MEXICO SUMMIT ELEV: 17802 FT (5426 M) ADVISORY NR: 2022/234 INFO SOURCE: GOES-16. NWP MODELS. RADIOSONDE. ERUPTION DETAILS: INTMT VA EMS SEEN IN SAT OBS VA DTG: 10/1146Z OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL200 N1915 W09838 - N1915 W09835 - N1901 W09837 - N1901 W09838 - N1915 W09838 MOV N 10KT FCST VA CLD +6HR: 10/1800Z SFC/FL200 N1902 W09837 - N1901 W09837 - N1852 W09858 - N1859 W09901 - N1902 W09837 FCST VA CLD +12HR: 11/0000Z SFC/FL200 N1902 W09838 - N1901 W09837 - N1844 W09851 - N1849 W09856 - N1902 W09838 FCST VA CLD +18HR: 11/0600Z NO VA EXP RMK: INTMT VA EMS SEEN IN SAT. CURRENT VA EM MOV N AND ARND 20 NM FM SUMMIT. GUIDANCE SHOWS A MORE SW MOV BY T+6 HRS. CONFIDENCE IN FCST IS LOW. UPDATE WILL BE PROVIDED WITH CHANGE IN FCST. ...KIBLER NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20221010/1815Z