FVXX21 KNES 050739 VA ADVISORY DTG: 20221005/0739Z VAAC: WASHINGTON VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 341090 PSN: N1901 W09837 AREA: MEXICO SUMMIT ELEV: 17802 FT (5426 M) ADVISORY NR: 2022/213 INFO SOURCE: GOES-16. WEBCAM. NWP MODELS. RADIOSONDE. ERUPTION DETAILS: DISCRETE VA EM AT 0605Z. OBS VA DTG: 05/0721Z OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL190 N1904 W09826 - N1857 W09828 - N1900 W09838 - N1903 W09838 - N1904 W09826 MOV E 10KT FCST VA CLD +6HR: 05/1330Z SFC/FL190 N1907 W09813 - N1852 W09814 - N1859 W09838 - N1902 W09838 - N1907 W09813 FCST VA CLD +12HR: 05/1930Z NO VA EXP FCST VA CLD +18HR: 06/0130Z NO VA EXP RMK: VA CLD OBSD MOVG E ABT 7 NMI FM SUMMIT. WEBCAM SHOWS VA EM AT 0605Z. NWP MDLS DO NOT AGREE WITH OBSD VA MOVMT. HWVR 00Z MMMX RADIOSONDE SUGGESTS VA CLD AT FL190. T+6 BASED ON PERSISTENCE SO LOW CONFDC IN FCST. ...HOSLEY NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20221005/1345Z