FVXX23 KNES 110723 VA ADVISORY DTG: 20211111/0723Z VAAC: WASHINGTON VOLCANO: SANGAY 352090 PSN: S0201 W07820 AREA: ECUADOR SUMMIT ELEV: 17159 FT (5230 M) ADVISORY NR: 2021/972 INFO SOURCE: GOES-16. NWP MODELS. ERUPTION DETAILS: OCNL VA EMS. OBS VA DTG: 11/0630Z OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL200 S0201 W07820 - S0201 W07819 - S0219 W07823 - S0217 W07830 - S0201 W07820 MOV S 10KT FCST VA CLD +6HR: 11/1230Z SFC/FL200 S0159 W07820 - S0201 W07819 - S0221 W07822 - S0217 W07834 - S0159 W07820 FCST VA CLD +12HR: 11/1830Z SFC/FL200 S0200 W07820 - S0201 W07819 - S0220 W07827 - S0212 W07837 - S0200 W07820 FCST VA CLD +18HR: 12/0030Z NO VA EXP RMK: VA CLDS OBSD THRU BKN WX CLD CVR. HOTSPOT EVIDENT. NWP MDL FCSTS DO NOT AGREE WELL WITH OBS SO FCST IS MAINLY BASED ON PERSISTENCE WITH LOW CONFDC IN T+6 AND T+12. ...HOSLEY NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20211111/1330Z