FVXX21 KNES 051652 VA ADVISORY DTG: 20210205/1652Z VAAC: WASHINGTON VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 341090 PSN: N1901 W09837 AREA: MEXICO SUMMIT ELEV: 17802 FT (5426 M) ADVISORY NR: 2021/147 INFO SOURCE: GOES-16. WEBCAM. NWP MODELS. ERUPTION DETAILS: DISCRETE VA EM. OBS VA DTG: 05/1631Z OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL200 N1903 W09831 - N1858 W09835 - N1902 W09840 - N1902 W09839 - N1903 W09831 MOV E 20KT FCST VA CLD +6HR: 05/2230Z SFC/FL200 N1902 W09838 - N1855 W09805 - N1841 W09813 - N1901 W09840 - N1902 W09838 FCST VA CLD +12HR: 06/0430Z SFC/FL200 N1904 W09806 - N1850 W09808 - N1900 W09840 - N1902 W09839 - N1904 W09806 FCST VA CLD +18HR: 06/1030Z NO VA EXP RMK: VA EM OBSD BY WEBCAM AT 1612Z. VA OBSD 6 NMI E OF SUMMIT. VA LKLY TO MOV FURTHER E BFR DISPG. FURTHER ACT LKLY. NWP MDLS AND WEBCAM SUGGEST VA TO FL200. NWP MDLS FCST VA TO MOV ESE BY T+6 THEN TO MOV E BY T+12. ...HOSLEY NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20210205/2245Z