FVXX22 KNES 071239
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20201007/1239Z

VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 341090
PSN: N1901 W09837

AREA: MEXICO

SUMMIT ELEV: 17802 FT (5426 M)

ADVISORY NR: 2020/886

INFO SOURCE: GOES-EAST. WEB CAM. NWP MODELS.
RADIOSONDE. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: VA SEEN IN SAT AND WEB CAM.

OBS VA DTG: 07/1226Z

OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL210 N1913 W09840 - N1904 W09835
- N1858 W09840 - N1905 W09850 - N1913 W09840 MOV
NW 5KT 

FCST VA CLD +6HR: 07/1830Z SFC/FL210 N1925 W09852
- N1902 W09834 - N1901 W09838 - N1905 W09907 -
N1925 W09852 

FCST VA CLD +12HR: 08/0030Z SFC/FL210 N1918
W09858 - N1903 W09836 - N1856 W09835 - N1858
W09911 - N1918 W09858 

FCST VA CLD +18HR: 08/0630Z NO VA EXP

RMK: VA SEEN IN WEB CAM AND CONFIRMED IN SAT MOVG
SLOWLY NNW/NW AND EXTG NEARLY 15 NM FM SUMMIT.
MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS A NW TO W-LY MOV BY T+12
HRS. LOW CONFIDENCE IN NWP DUE TO VERY LIGHT AND
VAR WINDS. ...KIBLER

NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20201007/1845Z