FVXX21 KNES 031549 VA ADVISORY DTG: 20191103/1549Z VAAC: WASHINGTON VOLCANO: SANGAY 352090 PSN: S0200 W07820 AREA: ECUADOR SUMMIT ELEV: 17159 FT (5230 M) ADVISORY NR: 2019/197 INFO SOURCE: GOES-EAST. NWP MODELS. ERUPTION DETAILS: POSS VA SEEN IN STLT. OBS VA DTG: 03/1530Z OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL200 S0156 W07835 - S0159 W07820 - S0201 W07820 - S0202 W07835 - S0156 W07835 MOV W 10-15KT FCST VA CLD +6HR: 03/2130Z SFC/FL200 S0152 W07838 - S0159 W07820 - S0201 W07820 - S0201 W07838 - S0152 W07838 FCST VA CLD +12HR: 04/0330Z SFC/FL200 NO ASH EXP FCST VA CLD +18HR: 04/0930Z NO ASH EXP RMK: POSS VA SEEN IN RGB AND PCI STLT IMAGERY MOV W-LY FM SUMMIT TO ESTIMATED FL200. MODEL GUIDANCE DOES NOT AGREE WITH FLOW AND UNDER ESTIMATED SPEED OF MOV. FCST CONFIDENCE IS LOW. ...KIBLER NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20191103/2145Z