FVXX24 KNES 010516 VA ADVISORY DTG: 20190901/0516Z VAAC: WASHINGTON VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 341090 PSN: N1901 W09837 AREA: MEXICO SUMMIT ELEV: 17802 FT (5426 M) ADVISORY NR: 2019/788 INFO SOURCE: GOES-EAST. MEXICO CITY MWO. NWP MODELS. VOLCAT. RADIOSONDE. ERUPTION DETAILS: FQT EM OBS VA DTG: 01/0500Z OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL220 N1925 W09850 - N1901 W09835 - N1859 W09837 - N1901 W09902 - N1925 W09850 MOV NW 5-10KT FCST VA CLD +6HR: 01/1100Z SFC/FL220 N1945 W09855 - N1901 W09834 - N1901 W09843 - N1939 W09904 - N1945 W09855 FCST VA CLD +12HR: 01/1700Z SFC/FL220 NO ASH EXP FCST VA CLD +18HR: 01/2300Z NO ASH EXP RMK: VA EXT 25 NM NW OF THE SUMMIT. LTLCG EXP OVR NXT 6HRS. LOW CONFIDENCE IN FCST BECAUSE OBS MOTION DOES NOT AGREE WITH NWP MODEL OUTPUT OR 00Z RADIOSONDE. ...TURK NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20190901/1115Z