FVXX20 KNES 021324
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190802/1324Z

VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 341090
PSN: N1901 W09837

AREA: MEXICO

SUMMIT ELEV: 17802 FT (5426 M)

ADVISORY NR: 2019/645

INFO SOURCE: GOES-EAST. WEB CAM. NWP MODELS.
ASH3D. VOLCAT. RADIOSONDE. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: NEW VA EM AT 1255Z AND REMNANT
VA

OBS VA DTG: 02/1311Z

OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL200 N1904 W09827 - N1858 W09829
- N1852 W09838 - N1850 W09847 - N1852 W09856 -
N1858 W09905 - N1903 W09906 - N1902 W09837 -
N1904 W09827 MOV N 5KT SFC/FL210 N1926 W09856 -
N1918 W09844 - N1916 W09838 - N1905 W09834 -
N1902 W09838 - N1858 W09839 - N1902 W09907 -
N1911 W09916 - N1926 W09856 MOV SW 5-10KT 

FCST VA CLD +6HR: 02/1900Z SFC/FL200 N1903 W09830
- N1852 W09832 - N1846 W09846 - N1849 W09902 -
N1902 W09910 - N1902 W09837 - N1903 W09830
SFC/FL210 N1914 W09837 - N1905 W09834 - N1902
W09837 - N1903 W09855 - N1913 W09855 - N1914
W09837 

FCST VA CLD +12HR: 03/0100Z SFC/FL200 N1902
W09912 - N1902 W09838 - N1901 W09837 - N1846
W09853 - N1844 W09908 - N1902 W09912 SFC/FL210 NO
ASH EXP

FCST VA CLD +18HR: 03/0700Z SFC/FL200 N1902
W09837 - N1901 W09837 - N1846 W09850 - N1843
W09911 - N1902 W09917 - N1902 W09837 

RMK: NEW VA EM TO NEAR FL200 MOV SW IN STLT
IMAGERY WITH SOME LOWER HGT VA FANNING TWD S/SE. 
EARLIER REMNANT VA MOV NW IS DSIPTG IN STLT BUT
SOME OF THE VA IS FANNING OUT TWD N AND W/SW. 
WINDS ARE LGT ALL THRU THE REGION.  MODEL
GUIDANCE AND FCST CONFIDENCE IS LOW. ...KIBLER

NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20190802/1930Z