FVXX20 KNES 291625
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190629/1625Z

VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 341090
PSN: N1901 W09837

AREA: MEXICO

SUMMIT ELEV: 17802 FT (5426 M)

ADVISORY NR: 2019/468

INFO SOURCE: GOES-EAST. WEB CAM. NWP MODELS.
ASH3D. VOLCAT. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: CONS VA EMS MOV W

OBS VA DTG: 29/1611Z

OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL200 N1908 W09858 - N1902 W09837
- N1901 W09837 - N1859 W09858 - N1908 W09858 MOV
W 5-10KT 

FCST VA CLD +6HR: 29/2200Z SFC/FL200 N1909 W09901
- N1902 W09837 - N1901 W09837 - N1858 W09901 -
N1909 W09901 

FCST VA CLD +12HR: 30/0400Z SFC/FL200 NO ASH EXP

FCST VA CLD +18HR: 30/1000Z NO ASH EXP

RMK: VA EMS NOW MOV W FM SUMMIT WITH LATEST VA EM
AT 29/16Z.  MOV DOES NOT MATCH UP WELL WITH 12Z
SOUNDING OR MODEL GUIDANCE.  EARLIER VA EMS MOV
SSW AT FL230 AND SW AT FL20 ARE NO LONGER SEEN IN
VISIBLE/RGB IMAGERY.  FCST CONFIDENCE AT T+6 HRS
IS LOW. ...KIBLER

NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20190629/2230Z