FVXX20 KNES 172155
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190617/2155Z

VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 341090
PSN: N1901 W09837

AREA: MEXICO

SUMMIT ELEV: 17802 FT (5426 M)

ADVISORY NR: 2019/442

INFO SOURCE: GOES-EAST. MEXICO CITY MWO. WEB CAM.
NWP MODELS. ASH3D. VOLCAT. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: NEW VA EMS AT 2021Z

OBS VA DTG: 17/2141Z

OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL280 N1911 W09913 - N1910 W09856
- N1858 W09900 - N1859 W09913 - N1911 W09913 MOV
W 5KT SFC/FL310 N1907 W09843 - N1903 W09837 -
N1901 W09837 - N1859 W09850 - N1907 W09849 -
N1907 W09843 MOV W 5KT SFC/FL420 N1935 W09818 -
N1930 W09759 - N1911 W09759 - N1907 W09806 -
N1912 W09826 - N1919 W09830 - N1935 W09818 MOV W
10-15KT 

FCST VA CLD +6HR: 18/0330Z SFC/FL280 NO ASH
EXPSFC/FL310 N1917 W09917 - N1915 W09852 - N1904
W09850 - N1858 W09854 - N1858 W09917 - N1917
W09917 SFC/FL420 N2011 W09724 - N2002 W09702 -
N1941 W09704 - N1935 W09711 - N1946 W09738 -
N2011 W09724 

FCST VA CLD +12HR: 18/0930Z SFC/FL310 N1923
W09916 - N1901 W09916 - N1859 W09945 - N1920
W09944 - N1923 W09916 SFC/FL420 NO ASH EXP

FCST VA CLD +18HR: 18/1530Z SFC/FL310 NO ASH EXP

RMK: ANOTHER VA EM AT FL310 MOV W. RESIDUAL VA FM
RREVIOUS EM ARE STILL IN THE AREA.  NWP MDLS AT
FL310 INDICATE WEAK AND VARIABLE WIND, THUS THE
CONFIDENCE OF FORCAST VA AREA IS RELATIVELY LOW.
...ZHU

NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20190618/0400Z