FVXX20 KNES 061814
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190606/1814Z

VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 341090
PSN: N1901 W09837

AREA: MEXICO

SUMMIT ELEV: 17802 FT (5426 M)

ADVISORY NR: 2019/405

INFO SOURCE: GOES-EAST. WEB CAM. NWP MODELS.
ASH3D. VOLCAT. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: LIKELY ERUPTION ARND 06/1700Z

OBS VA DTG: 06/1751Z

OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL280 N1908 W09852 - N1901 W09838
- N1854 W09841 - N1853 W09850 - N1901 W09855 -
N1908 W09852 MOV W 15-20KT 

FCST VA CLD +6HR: 07/0000Z SFC/FL280 NO ASH EXP

FCST VA CLD +12HR: 07/0600Z NO ASH EXP

FCST VA CLD +18HR: 07/1200Z NO ASH EXP

RMK: VA CLD SEEN MOV WEST FM SUMMIT AT ARND 17Z. 
 VA IS DIFFICULT TO SEEN IN WEB CAM DUE TO WX
CLDS. MODEL GUIDANCE DOES NOT AGREE WITH MOV OF
VA.  CONFIDENCE IN EXACT HEIGHT OF VA AND MODEL
GUIDANCE IS LOW. ...KIBLER

NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20190607/0015Z