FVXX22 KNES 290012 VA ADVISORY DTG: 20181029/0012Z VAAC: WASHINGTON VOLCANO: SANGAY 352090 PSN: S0200 W07820 AREA: ECUADOR SUMMIT ELEV: 17159 FT (5230 M) ADVISORY NR: 2018/216 INFO SOURCE: GOES-EAST. NWP MODELS. CIMSS VOLCAT. ERUPTION DETAILS: VA EM OBS VA DTG: 28/2345Z OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL230 S0148 W07816 - S0201 W07819 - S0201 W07820 - S0148 W07829 - S0148 W07816 MOV N 5-10KT FCST VA CLD +6HR: 29/0600Z SFC/FL230 S0143 W07832 - S0144 W07816 - S0200 W07819 - S0201 W07820 - S0143 W07832 FCST VA CLD +12HR: 29/1200Z SFC/FL230 NO ASH EXP FCST VA CLD +18HR: 29/1800Z NO ASH EXP RMK: VA EM SEEN IN STLT FANNING TO N AND NNW. LOW CONFIDENCE IN FCST VA MVMT DUE TO DISAGREEMENT BETWEEN MODELS AND DIR SEEN IN STLT. BELIEVE VA WILL CONT MOV NNW BASED ON RECENT ACT. ...VELASCO NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20181029/0615Z