FVXX20 KNES 101647 VA ADVISORY DTG: 20181010/1647Z VAAC: WASHINGTON VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 341090 PSN: N1901 W09837 AREA: MEXICO SUMMIT ELEV: 17802 FT (5426 M) ADVISORY NR: 2018/450 INFO SOURCE: GOES-EAST. RADIOSONDE. NWP MODELS. CIMSS VOLCAT. ERUPTION DETAILS: VA RPRT AT 10/1545Z OBS VA DTG: 10/1637Z OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL250 N1904 W09834 - N1904 W09828 - N1857 W09828 - N1856 W09834 - N1904 W09834 MOV E 10-15KT SFC/FL250 N1856 W09659 - N1856 W09653 - N1849 W09653 - N1848 W09659 - N1856 W09659 MOV E 10-15KT FCST VA CLD +6HR: 10/2230Z SFC/FL210 N1905 W09826 - N1856 W09826 - N1901 W09837 - N1902 W09837 - N1905 W09826 SFC/FL250 N1856 W09659 - N1856 W09652 - N1848 W09653 - N1848 W09659 - N1856 W09659 FCST VA CLD +12HR: 11/0430Z SFC/FL210 N1906 W09825 - N1856 W09825 - N1901 W09837 - N1901 W09837 - N1906 W09825 SFC/FL250 NO ASH EXP FCST VA CLD +18HR: 11/1030Z SFC/FL210 NO ASH EXP RMK: VA EM AT 1545Z MOV MORE E-LY THAN NE-LY IN LATEST STLT IMAGERY. NWP MODEL GUIDANCE AT FL250 SHOW A MORE E-LY FLOW THROUGH T+6 HRS. LATER FCST PERIOD INDICATE A CONT E-LY MOV AT FL210 THRU T+12 HRS. ...KIBLER NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20181010/2245Z