FVXX20 KNES 101625 VA ADVISORY DTG: 20181010/1625Z VAAC: WASHINGTON VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 341090 PSN: N1901 W09837 AREA: MEXICO SUMMIT ELEV: 17802 FT (5426 M) ADVISORY NR: 2018/449 INFO SOURCE: GOES-EAST. RADIOSONDE. NWP MODELS. CIMSS VOLCAT. VOLCANO WEB CAMERA. SOCIAL MEDIA ERUPTION DETAILS: VA RPRT AT 10/1545Z. OBS VA DTG: 10/1607Z OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL240 N1910 W09836 - N1903 W09828 - N1857 W09833 - N1902 W09837 - N1905 W09841 - N1910 W09836 MOV NE 15-20KT FCST VA CLD +6HR: 10/2200Z SFC/FL240 N1925 W09705 - N1914 W09701 - N1914 W09715 - N1924 W09714 - N1925 W09705 SFC/FL210 N1906 W09824 - N1856 W09823 - N1900 W09837 - N1902 W09838 - N1906 W09824 FCST VA CLD +12HR: 11/0400Z SFC/FL240 NO ASH EXPSFC/FL210 N1907 W09823 - N1855 W09823 - N1900 W09837 - N1902 W09838 - N1907 W09823 FCST VA CLD +18HR: 11/1000Z SFC/FL210 NO ASH EXP RMK: VOLCANO CAM ARND 10/1545Z SHOW VA EM AND CONFIRMED IN WEB CAM AT 1600Z. NWP MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES VA TO FL240 MOV MORE NE-LY TO E-LY LATER IN THE FCST PERIOD. FCST SHOWS THE POSS OF ADD VA EMS BASED ON RECENT ACT. ...KIBLER NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20181010/2230Z