FVXX20 KNES 102117 VA ADVISORY DTG: 20140810/2117Z VAAC: WASHINGTON VOLCANO: TUNGURAHUA 352080 PSN: S0128 W07826 AREA: ECUADOR SUMMIT ELEV: 16480 FT (5023 M) ADVISORY NR: 2014/272 INFO SOURCE: GOES-EAST. GFS WINDS. VOLCANO WEB CAMERA. ERUPTION DETAILS: CONTINUING EMISSIONS OBS VA DTG: 10/2045Z OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL200 S0126 W07826 - S0131 W07825 - S0149 W07850 - S0134 W07858 - S0126 W07826 MOV SW 20KT FCST VA CLD +6HR: 11/0300Z SFC/FL200 S0127 W07826 - S0130 W07826 - S0147 W07856 - S0130 W07900 - S0127 W07826 FCST VA CLD +12HR: 11/0900Z SFC/FL200 S0125 W07826 - S0130 W07825 - S0151 W07856 - S0132 W07900 - S0125 W07826 FCST VA CLD +18HR: 11/1500Z SFC/FL200 S0126 W07826 - S0131 W07825 - S0153 W07856 - S0134 W07900 - S0126 W07826 RMK: VA PLUME HAS SHIFTED MORE TO THE SW OVER THE PAST 1-2 HOURS. WC CLOUDS HAVE CLEARED ENOUGH FOR WEB CAM TO SHOW CONTINUING LOW LEVEL VA EMISSIONS. LOWERED THE VA HEIGHT BASED ON GFS WINDS AND WEB CAM. LOW CONFIDENCE IN FORECAST DUE TO MODEL INCONSISTENCIES. ...LIDDICK NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20140811/0315Z