FVXX20 KNES 020235 VA ADVISORY DTG: 20140202/0235Z VAAC: WASHINGTON VOLCANO: TUNGURAHUA 1502-08 PSN: S0128 W07826 AREA: ECUADOR SUMMIT ELEV: 16480 FT (5023 M) ADVISORY NR: 2014/018 INFO SOURCE: GUAYAQUIL MWO. GOES-13. GFS WINDS. HYSPLIT. SEISMIC DETECTION. VOLCANO WEB CAMERA. PILOT REPORT. GEOPHYSICAL INST. ERUPTION DETAILS: SEISMIC DATA CONTINUE 01/2300Z ERUPTION EST TO FL450 WITH HOTSPOT AND WEAKER EMISSIONS. OBS VA DTG: 02/0145Z OBS VA CLD: FL-SE/450 S0129 W07828 - S0131 W07754 - S0228 W07804 - S0255 W07837 - S0158 W07909 - S0137 W07910 - S0129 W07828 MOV SW-S-SE 10-20KT FCST VA CLD +6HR: 02/0800Z FL-SE/450 S0129 W07831 - S0135 W07734 - S0229 W07753 - S0344 W07809 - S0410 W07856 - S0326 W08002 - S0223 W07955 - S0143 W07937 - S0129 W07831 FCST VA CLD +12HR: 02/1400Z FL-SE/450 S0128 W07828 - S0146 W07711 - S0429 W07808 - S0601 W07938 - S0555 W08038 - S0456 W08144 - S0157 W08026 - S0128 W07828 FCST VA CLD +18HR: 02/2000Z RMK: HYSPLIT SLOWER THAN IMAGERY AND TOOK VA TOWARD SEGU BASED ON STREAMLINES. NO 18HR FCST DUE TO VERY LOW CONFIDENCE. PREVIOUS FL260 CLD DISSIPATED BY 0100Z. ...SWANSON NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20140202/0830Z